Thursday, February 4, 2010

The Cromford Report 2/2/10

Thanks to Mike Orr for providing this update on the Phoenix Metro real estate market:

New active listings continue to pile in, and although there continues to be a large number of pending sales, their number is not growing anything like as fast as in 2009, so we see the first evidence of a weakness in demand for a very long time. This is reflected in the fact that the Cromford Market Index™ is now falling back towards the normal level of 100.
During January, $/SF sales pricing weakened sharply in lender owned properties, with far fewer expensive properties being sold by the banks. However, pricing strengthened among normal listings, short sales and pre-foreclosures. Overall pricing is just 52c per sq. ft. higher than last month but we see signs of a little price weakness ahead during February. We note that annual appreciation has improved to -1.9% from -16.7% in the last three months. By the end of February it is likely to have turned positive.
For Maricopa County, new notices of foreclosure jumped in the last week, but the count for the month of January was 6,762, the lowest total for any month since November 2008. 4,454 trustee deeds were recorded, about average compared with the recent few months. Overall, we saw a slight decline in foreclosure activity.
- Mike Orr


If you haven't visited pookbellini.com lately, please do! In addition to great real estate information, you'll find some helpful links there:

• Arizona Department of Education
• Arizona Golf
* Arizona Guide
* Arizona Hiking
* Cactus League Baseball
* Current Gasoline Prices
* Current Road Conditions

Sunday, January 3, 2010

1/3/10

Happy 2010!

Well, it's hard to believe, but the new year is here. Now, the big question is: Is it two thousand-ten, two-thousand and ten, or twenty-ten? My logic is that our country was founded in seventeen seventy-six, not one thousand seven hundred and seventy-six, so twenty-ten gets my vote... though I keep finding myself saying two thousand-ten... and writing 2009. (BTW, I'm not even sure where all the hyphens go!) Whatever you call it, I wish you all the best in the new year and the new decade!

I don't know about you, but I always find the new year is the perfect time to try to get organized... again. All those systems that I put into place last year need some tweaking and I'm ready to take them on. With that game plan in mind, I was thrilled to catch David Bach, author of Start Over, Finish Rich, on the TODAY show the other day. He had some great suggestions for taking control of your financial life in twenty-ten and I'd like to share one of them, The Finish Rich File Folder System, with you.

Additionally, I want to share some important news about a nation-wide rebate that is being offered to help eligible consumers replace older, inefficient appliances with new ENERGY STAR® qualified appliances in 2010. These rebates are being funded with $300 million from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. Below you will find information that is specific to Arizona, where the program is tentatively scheduled to go into effect in March, and a link for getting information for other parts of the country. Please share this information with anyone who might be thinking about replacing their old appliances this year.

I hope you find this information helpful as you begin twenty-ten!


Today's Topics:
  • The Finish Rich File Folder System
  • Appliance Rebates
The Finish Rich File Folder System
All the information below comes from David Bach's book, Start Over, Finish Rich.

1. ‘Tax Returns.’ This hanging folder should contain four file folders, one for each of the last three years plus one for the current year. Mark the year on each folder’s tab and put into it all of that year’s important tax documents, such as W-2 forms, 1099s, receipts to support deductions or credits, and (most important) a copy of all the tax returns you filed for that year. Generally speaking, you don’t need to keep tax records for more than three years, although some documents — such as records relating to a home purchase or sale, stock transactions, retirement accounts, and business or rental property — should be kept longer. I keep all my tax documents for at least seven years, but that’s an individual decision.

2. ‘Retirement Accounts. All of your retirement account statements go here. You should create a file for each retirement account that you and your partner have. If you have three IRAs and a 401(k) plan, then you should have a separate file for each. The most important documents to file are the quarterly statements. If you have a company retirement account, you should also definitely keep your sign-up package, because it lists the investment options you have — something you should review at least once a year. You don’t need to keep the prospectuses that the mutual-fund companies mail you each quarter.

3. ‘Social Security.’ Keep your most recent Social Security Benefits Statement in this folder. If you haven’t received a statement in the mail in the last 12 months, request one by going online to www.ssa.gov or telephoning the Social Security Administration toll-free at (800) 772–1213.

4. ‘Investment Accounts.’ This folder is for every statement you receive related to any investments you may have (mutual funds, stocks, bonds, etc.) that are not in a retirement account. Prepare a separate file folder for every brokerage account you maintain.

5. ‘Savings and Checking Accounts.’ Keep your monthly bank statements here, with a separate file folder for each account. Generally speaking, you don’t need to keep bank statements for more than a few months — certainly not more than a year. If you get your statement online, print out a copy and stick it in the file.

6. ‘Household Accounts.’ If you own your own home, this hanging folder should contain the following files:

“House Title,” for documents such as title reports and title insurance policies. (If you can’t find this stuff, call your real estate agent or title company.)

“Home Improvements,” for all your receipts for any home-improvement work you do. (Since home improvement expenses can be added to the cost basis of your house when you sell it, which means a bigger tax deduction for you, you should keep these receipts for as long as you own your house.)

“Home Mortgage,” for all your mortgage statements. (Which you should check regularly, since mortgage companies often don’t credit you properly.) If you’re a renter, this folder should contain your lease, the receipt for your security deposit, and the receipts or canceled checks for your rental payments.

7. ‘Credit Card DEBT.’ Make sure you capitalize the word “DEBT” so it stands out and bothers you every time you see it. I’m not kidding. In my view, credit card debt is the biggest problem facing American consumers today. In Step 3, I will lay out a detailed plan for how you can pay down your debt as responsibly and quickly as possible. Right now simply create the folders — a separate one for each credit account you have — and keep your monthly statements in them.

8. “DOLP™ Worksheet.” DOLP stands for “Dead On Last Payment.” This is the system for paying down debt that I have taught for nearly a decade. I will explain exactly how it works in Step 3. In the meantime, make a copy of the DOLP worksheet on page 44 and put it in this file. (You can also download the worksheet from www.finishrich.com/DOLP.)

9. ‘Credit Scores.’ This folder is for your most recent credit scores, along with the credit reports on which they are based. See Step 4 for details on what these are and how to get copies.

10. ‘Other Liabilities.’ This is where you keep all your records dealing with debts other than your mortgage and your credit card accounts. These would include college loans, car loans, personal loans, etc. Each debt should have its own file folder, which should contain the loan note and your payment records.

11. ‘Insurance.’ Make separate file folders for each of your insurance policies, including health, life, automobile, homeowner’s or renter’s, disability, long-term care, and so on. Each of these folders should contain the appropriate policy and all the related payment records. If you have any employer provided insurance (e.g., medical coverage), include all the brochures and other informational material you’ve received from your company.

12. ‘Family Will or Trust.’ This should hold a copy of your most recent will or living trust, along with the business card of the attorney who drafted it.

13. ‘Children’s Accounts.’ If you have children, create a folder for all statements and other records pertaining to college savings accounts and any other investments you may have made on their behalf.

14. ‘Latte Factor®.’ Here is where you keep your Latte Factor worksheet. For some of you, this may be the most important folder you create.

The Latte Factor® is based on the simple idea that all you need to do to finish rich is to look at the small things you spend your money on every day and see whether you could redirect that spending to yourself. Putting aside as little as a few dollars a day for your future rather than spending it on little purchases such as lattes, bottled water, fast food, cigarettes, magazines and so on, can really make a difference between accumulating wealth and living paycheck to paycheck.

We don't even realize how much we're actually spending on these little purchases. If we did think about it and change our habits just a little, we could actually change our destiny.

So get started today! Identify what your Latte Factor® actually is by tracking your spending for a full day then calculating just how much you could save in a few years. The Latte Factor® Calculator makes it easy. This simple exercise can be life-changing. It adds up, so don't delay...get started today!

Now you are organized financially.
You did it. You now have 14 hanging files (13, if you don’t have kids), organized in a box or a file cabinet that represents your entire financial life. You should already be feeling more empowered and more in control over your finances. In fact, you are. In getting your records organized, you have taken a major step toward getting your financial life back on track.

I’m not exaggerating when I say that this one exercise can have a huge impact on your life. Over the years, I have heard from countless readers who told me that simply setting up this filing system totally changed how they handled their finances. It has helped couples get on the same page and stop fighting about money. It has helped people who never had a plan get a plan. Please trust me and do this. You will feel better and it will only take an hour. So go do it now.

As you create your file folder system, you may find that you don’t have any documents to put in some of the folders. Make them anyway. If you don’t have, say, a will or living trust, the empty folder will remind you every time you open the file box or drawer that you still have “homework” to complete for your “Start Over” plan.

If you are missing documents, use the form below to list what is missing and what you need to do to fill in the gaps.

MISSING INFORMATION DUE DATE COMPLETED

1. ________________________________________________________

2. ________________________________________________________

3. ________________________________________________________

Fill in the “Due Date” so you have a specific goal and time frame to meet. Check off “Completed” when you’re done.

Which records should you keep and which should you ditch?
The reason I made the Finish Rich File Folder System so specific is that many of us keep too much information for way too long. (I’m guilty of this myself.) The fact is, except in cases involving fraud, the statute of limitations on income-tax returns is only three years, so the Internal Revenue Service does not expect you to hang on to tax records and receipts for any longer than that. The main exceptions to this are if you’ve underreported your income (in which case you should keep your records for six years) or have claimed a loss from worthless securities (seven years). Obviously, you should keep records documenting the cost basis of your home and all your other taxable investments for as long as you own them. The same goes for the basic documents concerning your retirement accounts and insurance policies, not to mention all loans and mortgages.

But don’t be shy about getting rid of old materials. Here’s a list of items you should consider throwing away (or shredding if the documents contain personal information):

• Outdated warranties

• Outdated instruction manuals

• Outdated wills or trusts (provided you created a new one)

• Canceled insurance policies

• Credit card statements for closed tax years

• Canceled checks for closed tax years

• Old brokerage statements for closed tax years (unless they have cost-basis information you might eventually need)

• Old annual reports from stocks and/or mutual funds

• Old investment newsletters (some people keep these things for years because they paid for them — let them go)


Arizona Appliance Rebates
The State of Arizona will implement a mail-in rebate program to help residents replace older, inefficient appliances with ENERGY STAR® qualified appliances. The program is tentatively scheduled to begin in March 2010 and will last until funds are depleted.

Eligible products include

  • Clothes washers
  • Dishwashers
  • Gas condensing water heaters
  • Gas storage water heaters
  • Gas tankless water heaters
  • Electric heat pump water heaters

Rebates vary based on the appliances' efficiency levels. Rebate claims must be made within 14 days of purchase. Arizona encourages residents to recycle the old appliances.

Contact: Arizona Department of Commerce Energy Office

Total Funding: $6,237,000

Program information subject to change. Rebates may be offered for a limited time only. Before purchasing a product, check with your program sponsor to ensure rebates are available, and to confirm product eligibility and program requirements. Products purchased must meet efficiency criteria as established by the state.

For appliance rebates in other parts of the country click HERE.

Thursday, December 24, 2009

12/24/09

Wishing you and yours a joyous holiday!

On Monday morning I asked my husband if he had taken the trash can out to the street, as I heard the garbage truck outside. He went out and when he returned he told me that it wasn't the garbage truck that I had heard, but the house across the street coming down.

Of course, I immediately went to look and, sure enough, the big equipment was out there knocking away at what was once not just a house, but a home... a place of refuge and comfort; a family home, where kids once did their homework and holidays were celebrated with family and friends.

Over the next three days I watched, as truck after truck hauled away pieces of the house... pieces of the shell that used to be a home. But, the truth is, in the end it really was just block and mortar. What gave the house life was all the people we got to share some time with over the past 33 years.

It won't be long before a new house will be built where "the Alamo" used to be. Undoubtedly, it will be bigger and more beautiful than the one that came down this week, but it won't be the fabulous kitchen, the high ceilings, the travertine floors, the Venetian plaster, or any of the other amenities that will make it a home... it will be the new residents that find refuge and comfort there that will bring it to life.

May your holidays be filled with good friends and good times, and may your home be filled with joy all through the year!


Warmly,
Pook

Saturday, November 7, 2009

11/7/09

Today's Topics:
  • Tax Credit for Homebuyers
  • Phoenix Metro Market: The Cromford Report - 11/3/09

Tax Credit for Homebuyers

Information below courtesy of Sue Lechman, Senior Mortgage Consultant at OnQFinancial and info links courtesy of the National Association of Home Builders.

First-Time Homebuyers (FTHBs): First-time homebuyers (that is, people who have not owned a home within the last three years) may be eligible for the tax credit. The credit for FTHBs is 10% of the purchase price of the home, with a maximum available credit of $8,000.

Single taxpayers and married couples filing a joint return may qualify for the full tax credit amount.

First-time Homebuyers can find more detailed information at:

Frequently Asked Questions about the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

Current Owners: The tax credit program now gives those who already own a residence some additional reasons to move to a new home. This incentive comes in the form of a tax credit of up to $6,500 for qualified purchasers who have owned and occupied a primary residence for a period of five consecutive years during the last eight years.

Single taxpayers and married couples filing a joint return may qualify for the full tax credit amount.

Current homeowners looking to move up can find more detailed information at:

Frequently Asked Questions About the Move-Up/Repeat Home Buyer Tax Credit

What are the New Deadlines?

In order to qualify for the credit, all contracts need to be in effect no later than April 30, 2010 and close no later than June 30, 2010.

Tax Credit Versus Tax Deduction

It’s important to remember that the tax credit is just that… a tax credit. The benefit of a tax credit is that it’s a dollar-for-dollar tax reduction, rather than a reduction in a tax liability that would only save you $1,000 to $1,500 when all was said and done. So, if a first-time homebuyer were to owe $8,000 in income taxes and would qualify for a tax credit of $8,000, she would owe nothing.

Better still, the tax credit is refundable, which means the homebuyer can receive a check for the credit if he or she has little income tax liability. For example, if a first-time homebuyer is eligible for a tax credit of $8,000 but is liable for $4,000 in income tax, she can still receive a check for the remaining $4,000!

Higher Income Caps

The amount of income someone can earn and qualify for the full amount of the credit has been increased.

Single tax filers who earn up to $125,000 are eligible for the total credit amount. Those who earn more than this cap can receive a partial credit. However, single filers who earn $145,000 and above are ineligible

Joint filers who earn up to $225,000 are eligible for the total credit amount. Those who earn more than this cap can receive a partial credit. However, joint filers who earn $245,000 and above are ineligible.

Maximum Purchase Price

Qualifying buyers may purchase a property with a maximum sale price of $800,000.

Can Homebuyers Claim the Tax Credit in Advance of Purchasing a Property?

No. The IRS has recently begun prosecuting people who have claimed credits where a purchase had not taken place.

Can a Taxpayer Claim a Credit if the Property is Purchased from a Seller with Seller Financing and the Seller Retains Title to the Property?

Yes. In situations where the buyer purchases the property, even though the seller retains legal title, the taxpayer may file for the credit. Some examples of this would include a land contract or a contract for deed.

According to the IRS, factors that would demonstrate the ownership of the property would include:

1. Right of possession,
2. Right to obtain legal title upon full payment of the purchase price,
3. Right to construct improvements,
4. Obligation to pay property taxes,
5. Risk of loss,
6. Responsibility to insure the property, and
7. Duty to maintain the property.

Are There Other Restrictions to Taking the FTHB Credit?

Yes. According to the IRS, if any of the following describe a homebuyer’s situation, a credit would not be due:

  • They buy the home from a close relative. This includes a spouse, parent, grandparent, child or grandchild. (Please see the question below for details regarding purchases from “step-relatives.”)
  • They do not use the home as your principal residence.
  • They sell their home before the end of the year.
  • They are a nonresident alien.
  • They are, or were, eligible to claim the District of Columbia first-time homebuyer credit for any taxable year. (This does not apply for a home purchased in 2009.)
  • Their home financing comes from tax-exempt mortgage revenue bonds. (This does not apply for a home purchased in 2009.)
  • They owned a principal residence at any time during the three years prior to the date of purchase of your new home. For example, if you bought a home on July 1, 2008, you cannot take the credit for that home if you owned, or had an ownership interest in, another principal residence at any time from July 2, 2005, through July 1, 2008.

Can Homebuyers Purchase a Home from a Step-Relative and Still be Eligible for the Credit?

Yes. As long as the person they buy the home from is not a direct blood relative, the purchase would be allowed.

If a Parent (Who Will Not Live In The Property) Cosigns for a Mortgage, Will Their Child Still be Eligible for the Credit?

Yes, provided that the child meets the other requirements for the tax credit.

The above information is being passed on without claims to its accuracy and with the understanding that anyone interested in taking advantage of the current Homebuyers Tax Credit program will consult with their personal financial adviser to verify the information and to see if they qualify.

Cromford Report
Thanks to Mike Orr for providing this update on the Phoenix Metro real estate market:

We are seeing a substantial rise in active listings, particularly in the more affordable price ranges. However, sales and pending sales remain very strong for the time of year, and we need to remember that it is quite normal for inventory to rise during October and November. To underscore this, the Cromford Market Index continues to rise, telling us that demand is still growing faster than supply.

Overall pricing has been fairly flat for the last three months, and there are early indications that REO pricing may have stopped rising while normal sales may have stopped falling. This may only be temporary, but the combined effect means there will probably be a moderate increase in average price per square foot in sales recorded during November. The market between $300,000 and $600,000 has improved recently while that under $300,000 is not looking as strong as it was during the first 10 months of the year. Over $800,000, inventory remains too high for pricing to really show any major strength, but it is possible that market improvements will extend to the $800,000 level now that tax credits are expected to apply up to this price point for move-up buyers.

New foreclosure notices were lower in October but trustee sales were higher. The inventory of pending foreclosures has stabilized at just over 50,000 and is no longer showing upward momentum.

- Mike Orr

Friday, October 30, 2009

10/30/09


Today's Topics:
  • Phoenix Metro Market: The Cromford Report - 10/27/09
  • First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Gets Obama Nod
  • Things Condo Buyers Should Consider

Cromford Report
Thanks to Mike Orr for providing this update on the Phoenix Metro real estate market:

snapshot 20091027.jpg

In line with normal seasonal trends, active listings are increasing while sales fall. What is very unusual is that pending listings continue to rise and all indicators of demand remain very strong except for the luxury sector.

The number of new foreclosure notices is slightly up from the relatively low level of September. Trustee sales have been running at high daily rates in October, though not as high as in June and July. So this is a mixed picture with no clear message for us. We have noticed that the first month of each quarter tends to have higher foreclosure numbers than the subsequent two months.

Overall pricing remains little changed over the last two months, and as prices were falling precipitously twelve months ago, the annual rate of price appreciation is improving very fast. Notice how it has risen from -29.2% to -17.9% in the last 3 months. It appears likely that appreciation will show positive readings by the time we get to April 2010.

- Mike Orr



First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Gets Obama Nod
Courtesy of U.S. World and News Report

By Luke Mullins

Posted: October 29, 2009

An extension of the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit appears all but certain after the Obama administration called on Congress to give house hunters more time to claim the popular tax perk. The move comes shortly after Senate lawmakers stuck an agreement to not only push back the measure's looming deadline but expand it to allow current homeowners and more affluent buyers to claim the credit. "We welcome efforts taken by Congress to extend the first-time home buyers tax credit for a limited period," Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner and HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan said in a joint statement today. "This credit has brought new families into the housing market and contributed to three consecutive months of rising home prices nationwide." Here are five things you need to know about the development:

[See New Home Buyer Tax Credit: 7 Things You Need to Know.]

1. Roots and impact: A tax credit of as much as $8,000 for certain qualified first-time home buyers was included in the Obama administration's sweeping economic stimulus package, which the president signed in mid-February. The measure was designed to stimulate additional demand for residential real estate and help absorb the overhang of unsold properties that was putting downward pressure on home prices. Along with cheaper home prices and attractive mortgage rates, the perk has helped reduce the glut of unsold properties. Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, expects the tax credit to result in as many as 400,000 additional home sales by the time of its scheduled expiration at the end of November. But trade groups—like the National Association of Home Builders and the National Association of Realtors—have been lobbying Congress to push the deadline back, arguing that failing to do so would jeopardize recent signs of stability in the housing market. The NAHB, for example, blamed yesterday's weaker-than-expected new home sales report on the tax credit's impending expiration.

[See Weak Home Sales Suggest a Slog of a Recovery.]

2. Extending the deadline: Although various proposals to extend and expand the credit have circulated in Congress for weeks, Senate lawmakers finally reached a deal in recent days. Under the terms of the agreement, the deadline for first-time home buyers to claim the $8,000 credit would be pushed back to April 30, 2010. But the term "deadline" doesn't mean the same thing as it does in the current credit. The Senate agreement stipulates that buyers must have a sales contract on a house by April 30 to be eligible, but it gives them an additional 60 days to close the purchase. That's much different from the current credit, in which transactions must be closed by November 30. Looked at one way, the effective deadline of the credit under this agreement is actually the end of June.

3. Existing buyers: But perhaps the most significant change is that current homeowners would become eligible for the tax perk as well. The current credit prevents home buyers who have owned a primary residence within the past three years from claiming the credit. The agreement, however, would allow current homeowners to claim up to $6,500 as long as the property they are vacating has been their primary residence for at least five years. Expanding the credit beyond first-time buyers is intended to boost home sales to "move up" buyers—those moving from one house to another—which some lawmakers, most notably Georgia Republican Sen. Johnny Isakson, argue is essential to a housing recovery.

4. More-affluent home buyers: The agreement also enables more affluent Americans to claim the tax credit. Senators moved to increase its annual income limits from $75,000 to $125,000 for single buyers and from $150,000 to $225,000 for married couples. These limits apply to both first-time and move-up buyers, although neither can purchase a home for more than $800,000 and still get the credit. Anyone taking the credit on a 2010 purchase can claim it on his or her 2009 tax return. And as long as home buyers live in the property they purchased via the credit for three years or more, the tax credit does not have to be repaid.

5. Credit controversy: Zandi estimates that the Senate agreement would generate more home sales than the current credit would. "It's broader, [and] the industry is geared up to take advantage of it now," he says. But first-time home buyer tax credits have already cost the government more than $10 billion in lost revenue, and Zandi expects that the Senate agreement would cost at least as much. And although it's been popular with those purchasing homes, some economists have called the credit an inefficient use of federal resources. Calculated Risk, a financial blog, has estimated that Uncle Sam has paid $43,000 for every additional home sale. And the Senate agreement—which enables households making more than $200,000 a year to claim the credit—could certainly appear overly generous in a time of trillion-dollar budget deficits.

At the same time, the credit has recently been linked to widespread abuse. Russell George, the Treasury Department's inspector general for tax administration, told a congressional panel last week that 19,300 taxpayers had claimed the first-time home buyer credit before they had even purchased a home. In another 74,000 cases—totaling more than $500 million—taxpayers claimed the credit despite evidence that they had owned a home within the past three years. And in at least one case, a 4-year-old claimed the credit, George said.

[See First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit: All Sorts of Sketchy Claims.]

Although the agreement appears to have broad bipartisan support, it still has to get out of the chamber. Along the way, it could be stripped of certain generous provisions. But in light of the White House support, it appears all but certain that at the very least, the first-time home buyer tax credit will be extended beyond its November 30 deadline.


Things Condo Buyers Should Consider
Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine, October 19, 2009 with permission of the
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright 2009. All rights reserved.

Buyers who are considering the purchase of a condominium should inspect the health of the home owner’s association before they close.

The seller should provide the buyer all financial documents relating to the association in time for an attorney for the buyer to review them before closing.

Here’s some advice from Leonard Baron, professor of finance at San Diego State University, about the information that the seller should consider:

  • Does the association budget include money for operating expenses such as water, lights, elevator maintenance, and landscaping?
  • Is there extra money set aside in a reserve fund for long-term maintenance? If there is an outside reserve study, that should be provided. If not, there should be adequate money in the reserves right now to cover 50 percent of the estimated cost of repairs over the next 30 years.
  • Do the condo’s expenses exceed revenues due to a high foreclosure rate or other reasons that owners’ debts go unpaid?
  • If there is a shortfall, does the association have a plan besides cutting back on services for making it up?
Source: The Wall Street Journal, June Fletcher (10/17/2009)

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

9/22/09

Today's Topics:
  • Phoenix Metro Market: The Cromford Report - 9/22/09
  • Deadline Nears For First-Time Home-Buyer Tax Credit
  • Credit Reports Under Extra Scrutiny
  • Unemployed Home Owners May Get Assistance

Cromford Report
Thanks to Mike Orr for providing this update on the Phoenix Metro real estate market:

snapshot 20090922.jpg

We see sales continuing to fall while pending sales rise. There are a total of 19,566 listings under contract, even more than last week. Given that dollar volume is well down from August, it would be encouraging if we saw more of these homes under contract closing escrow before the end of the quarter.

Overall pricing has recovered from the brief downward trend that prevailed in August and is starting to move higher. Note that average price, median price and average $/SF are all up slightly over the August 22 reading. However pricing for luxury homes and normal sales is still moving downwards. Demand for affordable homes is very strong indeed, especially for the time of year.

- Mike Orr


Deadline Nears For First-Time Home-Buyer Tax Credit
Courtesy of USA TODAY

By Stephanie Armour, USA TODAY
Time is fast running out for first-time buyers hoping to get a tax credit of up to $8,000, and Realtors say they're seeing a marked upswing in interest as the deadline looms.

Real estate groups also are urging Congress to extend the credit beyond its current deadline and expand the tax credit to up to $15,000. Now, buyers must close on their purchase by Nov. 30 to be eligible for the credit.

Home builders and real estate organizations are concerned that letting the tax credit expire could knock the wind out of the current housing recovery. And failing to expand the credit could imperil efforts to get more move-up buyers into the market.

"Right now, the recovery is in the first stage and getting entry-level buyers in, but it's having no impact on the move-up buyer," says Richard Smith, CEO of Realogy, the parent company of Century 21, Coldwell Banker and others. "If we can expand the credit to go after that move-up buyer, we'll be home free."

The tax credit available to first-time home buyers is already linked with an uptick in sales. For the first time in five years, existing home sales have increased for four months in a row, according to an August report by the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Sales rose 7.2% in July from June, and pending sales are 5% above the pace seen in July of 2008

Many of those using the tax credit, however, are buying up foreclosed homes that are vacant. That does little to stimulate sales by homeowners looking to move up to more expensive properties. Getting more move-up buyers into the market is considered the second stage of the housing recovery.

And even though the tax credit doesn't expire until Nov. 30, today's home purchases take 45-60 days to close as the underwriting and appraisal process is taking longer because lenders are being more cautious. That means offers that will benefit from the tax credit really need to be in this or early next month.

"Buyers have more of a sense of urgency," says Tony Middleton, a Realtor in Los Angeles with ZipRealty, of the expiring tax credit. "They're serious about shopping for a home."

There is legislation in both the Senate and the House that would expand the tax credit. A proposal by Sen. Johnny Isakson, R-Ga., would raise the credit amount to a maximum of $15,000 for any buyer of any home over the next year. It would remove the income caps that currently apply (those limits are now $75,000 for an individual and $150,000 on couples).

"I think we've got a realistic chance of doing this," Isakson says. "Our problem is not with the first-time home buyer, it's the move-up buyer."

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at NAR, says extending or raising the tax credit would spur the housing recovery, which in turn would help bolster the economy.


Credit Reports Under Extra Scrutiny

Courtesy of REALTOR® magazine, the official magazine of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Buyers who are under contract and hoping to close before Nov. 30 when the first-time home buyer credit expires should refrain from buying furniture and other things on credit.

Lenders are running credit checks prior to closing day and any increase in credit card or other debt can jeopardize the loan, says Lew Reich, an associate with Keller Williams Realty in Plano, Texas.

Reich warns buyers to even refrain from checking out a new large purchase because even an inquiry on a credit report could scare a lender.

Reich tells borrowers: “If someone’s squeaking by and, all of a sudden, they may be looking at increasing debt, the lenders will have a keener eye in looking at your loan,” he says.

“Don’t look until you’ve closed is basically what it comes down to. That’s the safest way. Stay out of the stores,” he adds.

Source: The Associated Press, Dawn Wotapka (09/18/2009)


Unemployed Home Owners May Get Assistance
Courtesy of REALTOR® magazine, the official magazine of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

The Obama administration has opened a dialogue with major lenders, economists, and government officials over the possibility of extending a financial lifeline to home owners who no longer can afford their mortgages because of job losses.

Possible strategies range from encouraging loan servicers to allow unemployed borrowers to skip some payments to providing grants or loans to temporarily cover mortgage obligations for home owners who become unemployed.

The talks have drawn praise from some real estate groups and other interests, who say that without aid to this subset of homeowners, the housing recovery could lose momentum.

Source: USA Today, Stephanie Armour (09/18/09)

© Copyright 2009 Information Inc.


Tuesday, July 28, 2009

7/28/09

Today's Topics:
  • Market Update: The Cromford Report - 7/28/09
  • Home Buyer Tax Credit
  • Mortgage Disclosure Improvement Act (MDIA)

CROMFORD REPORT

Thanks to Mike Orr for providing this update on the Phoenix Metro real estate market:
When reading the chart, remember that GREEN is GOOD!

Modest declines can be seen in active listings, sales and pending listings as the second quarter frenzy dies down a little.

Buying activity is still strong for lender owned properties although we see some easing in the rate of price increases.

The supply situation is unchanged - extremely tight under $350,000 and over-abundant above $500,000.

No big changes are appearing on the foreclosure front. It looks as though July’s counts of Trustee Sales and Foreclosure Notices will both come in close to the June numbers.

All told, July is proving to be a relatively uneventful month compared with the fireworks in the second quarter.

- Mike Orr

HOME BUYER TAX CREDIT

The following information regarding The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, which authorizes a tax credit of up to $8,000 for qualified first-time home buyers purchasing a principal residence on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 1, 2009, comes from the National Association of Home Builders. The link below provides basic information about the tax credit. If you have more specific questions, you are encouraged to consult a qualified tax advisor or legal professional about your unique situation.

http://www.federalhousingtaxcredit.com/2009/faq.php#12

It is important to note that there may be a change coming in the current Home Buyer Tax Credit which could increase the amount of the credit, extend the time for applying, and make it available to more people, not just "first-time" buyers. The following article (dated 6/10/09) regarding the proposed changes comes from Bloomberg.com.

Senators Want Homebuyer Tax Credit to Rise to $15,000 (Update2)

By Dawn Kopecki

June 10 (Bloomberg) -- Lawmakers are pushing to revive legislation in the Senate that would almost double an $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers and expand the program to all borrowers.

Senator Johnny Isakson, a Georgia Republican, introduced a bill today that would increase the tax credit to $15,000 and remove income and other restrictions on who can qualify, according to his spokeswoman, Sheridan Watson. The Treasury Department declined to comment on the proposal.

The legislation, co-sponsored by Senate Banking Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd, a Connecticut Democrat, would extend the homebuyer credit to multifamily properties used as the borrower’s primary residence. It would also eliminate income caps of $75,000 and $150,000 on individuals and couples seeking to claim the credit.

“The housing market continues to be a drag on the economy, John Castellani, president of the Washington-based Business Roundtable, said in a telephone interview today. “We believe that if we don’t stabilize this vital sector, we can’t turn the tide on the recession.”

The Business Roundtable represents more than 100 chief executive officers including General Electric Co.’s Jeffrey Immelt and Exxon Mobil Corp.’s Rex Tillerson. The group and the National Association of Realtors are pushing to expand the tax credit and to lower mortgage rates to revive the housing market.

For All Borrowers

“One of the biggest problems facing the American people today is an illiquid housing market, a decline in their equity, a decline in their net worth and a depression in the housing market that we are obligated to correct if we possibly can,” Isakson said in a statement. Isakson said his legislation would spur demand in the housing market by giving homeowners the incentive to trade up to a more expensive home.

The bill would extend the tax credit, which now applies to homes purchased from Jan. 1 to Dec. 1, 2009, to one year after the new measure is signed into law, according to Watson. Isakson’s bill would make the credit available to all borrowers, not only borrowers who haven’t owned a home in the previous three years as is the case under current law. It would also let borrowers divide the credit over two years. The legislation wouldn’t be applied retroactively to purchases completed before the date of enactment, Watson said.

The bill is co-sponsored by Republican Senators Lamar Alexander of Tennessee, Saxby Chambliss of Georgia, David Vitter of Louisiana, James Risch of Idaho, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, John Ensign of Nevada and Jim Bunning of Kentucky, according to a statement from Isakson.

Senator Joseph Lieberman, a Connecticut independent, has also signed on to the bill, according to the statement.


(The section of the article regarding mortgage rates has been removed, as it is no longer current.)

To contact the reporter on this story: Dawn Kopecki in Washington at dkopecki@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: June 10, 2009 18:09 EDT


MORTGAGE DISCLOSURE IMPROVEMENT ACT (MDIA)

Thanks to Rob Kanyur of NOVA HOME LOANS - SCOTTSDALE for sharing the following information regarding the new Mortgage Disclosure Improvement Act (MDIA) that became effective July 30, 2009.

  • The new MDIA rules apply to both purchase and refinance loans.
  • A lender must provide a borrower with an "early" Good Faith Estimate / TIL within three business days of receiving the borrower's loan application.
  • A lender cannot collect upfront fees from the borrower until the borrower has received the "early" disclosures in person or, if mailed, three business days after the early disclosures are mailed.
  • A lender must wait seven business days after providing the early disclosures before the borrower can sign closing documents.
  • If the final Annual Percentage Rate (APR) on the closing documents varies more than 0.125% (up or down) from the initial APR on the "early" disclosures, the lender must provide the borrower with a corrected disclosure and wait three business days before the borrower can sign the closing documents. Clarification - the borrower cannot sign closing documents until three business days after the borrower receives the corrected disclosure in person. If the corrected disclosure is mailed, the borrower is deemed to have received it three business days after it is placed in the mail.
For these rules, a "business day" is defined as all calendar days except Sundays and legal public holidays as specified.